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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Texas1.77+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+4.85vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.38+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.41+6.56vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+3.35vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.40vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.68-0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-3.50vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+2.11vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.55+1.99vs Predicted
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11Purdue University0.92-4.96vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-0.66-0.67vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-0.27-2.79vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-0.12-4.74vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.02-6.17vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.82-1.71vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-2.23-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of North Texas1.7721.1%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Santa Cruz1.037.2%1st Place
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5.43University of California at San Diego1.3810.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Texas0.412.2%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.464.8%1st Place
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8.4Olin College of Engineering0.223.9%1st Place
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6.99University of New Hampshire0.687.3%1st Place
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4.5University of California at Los Angeles1.3016.4%1st Place
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11.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.402.1%1st Place
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11.99Middlebury College-0.551.8%1st Place
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6.04Purdue University0.929.5%1st Place
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11.33Fairfield University-0.661.9%1st Place
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10.21San Diego State University-0.272.6%1st Place
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9.26Marquette University-0.124.0%1st Place
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8.83Bates College0.024.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Delaware-1.820.8%1st Place
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15.22Unknown School-2.230.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dutch Byerly | 21.1% | 21.3% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.1% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| James Jagielski | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 6.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew White | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 4.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 26.0% | 30.8% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 20.3% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.