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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.88+3.35vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.40+1.59vs Predicted
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3Colgate University1.66+0.20vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.71-2.09vs Predicted
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5Penn State University1.35-1.22vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.03-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35Hamilton College0.880.1%1st Place
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3.59Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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3.2Colgate University1.660.2%1st Place
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1.91Washington College2.710.5%1st Place
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3.78Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
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4.17Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Brown | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 22.5% | 32.0% |
| Andrew Murphy | 12.2% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 14.0% |
| William Baxter | 16.8% | 19.7% | 20.7% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 7.6% |
| Charles Nunn | 46.2% | 29.2% | 14.8% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| John Shanahan | 10.9% | 13.6% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 19.5% |
| Robert Suriani | 7.6% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 22.5% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.