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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.66+2.24vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.71-0.03vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.03+1.08vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.40-0.38vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.88-0.58vs Predicted
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7Penn State University1.35-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24Colgate University1.660.2%1st Place
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1.97Washington College2.710.5%1st Place
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4.08Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.62Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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4.42Hamilton College0.880.1%1st Place
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3.68Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Baxter | 16.1% | 21.1% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 12.6% | 10.9% |
| Charles Nunn | 46.9% | 25.6% | 15.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Robert Suriani | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 24.6% | 23.4% |
| Andrew Murphy | 10.3% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 13.1% |
| Ian Brown | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 35.7% |
| John Shanahan | 11.3% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.