← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.40vs Predicted
-
2University of North Texas1.77+1.62vs Predicted
-
3Olin College of Engineering0.22+5.32vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.68+2.93vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+3.21vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego1.38-0.52vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+0.16vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-0.55+3.88vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University-0.66+2.27vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-0.12-1.08vs Predicted
-
11Purdue University0.92-4.88vs Predicted
-
12Bates College0.02-2.91vs Predicted
-
13University of Texas0.41-2.44vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-2.79vs Predicted
-
15Unknown School-2.23+0.09vs Predicted
-
16San Diego State University-0.27-5.84vs Predicted
-
17University of Delaware-1.82-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.4University of California at Los Angeles1.3016.2%1st Place
-
3.62University of North Texas1.7722.6%1st Place
-
8.32Olin College of Engineering0.224.5%1st Place
-
6.93University of New Hampshire0.687.3%1st Place
-
8.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.465.0%1st Place
-
5.48University of California at San Diego1.389.8%1st Place
-
7.16University of California at Santa Cruz1.035.9%1st Place
-
11.88Middlebury College-0.551.6%1st Place
-
11.27Fairfield University-0.662.2%1st Place
-
8.92Marquette University-0.124.0%1st Place
-
6.12Purdue University0.928.6%1st Place
-
9.09Bates College0.023.5%1st Place
-
10.56University of Texas0.412.9%1st Place
-
11.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.4%1st Place
-
15.09Unknown School-2.230.3%1st Place
-
10.16San Diego State University-0.273.9%1st Place
-
14.59University of Delaware-1.820.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 22.6% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Poirier | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 9.8% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Andrew White | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 4.4% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 48.2% |
| Casey Gignac | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 26.6% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.