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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.38+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas1.77+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+3.97vs Predicted
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4Purdue University0.92+2.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+2.05vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.68-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Texas0.41+1.67vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.55+1.75vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.27-0.74vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.02-3.06vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.12-3.75vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-0.66-2.41vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-3.77vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-2.23-0.86vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.82-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48University of California at San Diego1.3810.3%1st Place
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3.66University of North Texas1.7721.7%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Santa Cruz1.037.0%1st Place
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6.11Purdue University0.929.5%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.3016.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.465.3%1st Place
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8.18Olin College of Engineering0.224.3%1st Place
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6.89University of New Hampshire0.687.8%1st Place
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10.67University of Texas0.412.4%1st Place
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11.75Middlebury College-0.551.9%1st Place
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10.26San Diego State University-0.272.1%1st Place
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8.94Bates College0.023.9%1st Place
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9.25Marquette University-0.123.5%1st Place
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11.59Fairfield University-0.661.4%1st Place
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11.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.8%1st Place
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15.14Unknown School-2.230.4%1st Place
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14.37University of Delaware-1.820.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 21.7% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| James Jagielski | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 5.5% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew White | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 5.2% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 20.5% | 47.6% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 24.6% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.