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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.71+0.96vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.66+1.21vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.40+0.61vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.88+0.32vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-0.80vs Predicted
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7Penn State University1.35-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Washington College2.710.5%1st Place
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3.21Colgate University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.61Syracuse University1.400.1%1st Place
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4.32Hamilton College0.880.1%1st Place
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4.2Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.71Penn State University1.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Nunn | 45.9% | 27.7% | 16.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| William Baxter | 15.4% | 22.9% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 8.9% |
| Andrew Murphy | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 13.1% |
| Ian Brown | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 32.1% |
| Robert Suriani | 7.5% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 19.8% | 29.0% |
| John Shanahan | 11.6% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 20.8% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.