← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+5.90vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego1.38+3.52vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.51vs Predicted
-
4University of North Texas1.77-0.43vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University0.92+1.11vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire0.68+0.93vs Predicted
-
7Fairfield University-0.66+4.49vs Predicted
-
8Bates College0.02+0.95vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-0.75vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University-0.12-0.87vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+0.11vs Predicted
-
12Middlebury College-0.55-0.16vs Predicted
-
13University of Texas0.41-2.44vs Predicted
-
14San Diego State University-0.27-3.82vs Predicted
-
15Olin College of Engineering0.22-6.71vs Predicted
-
16University of Delaware-1.82-1.48vs Predicted
-
17Unknown School-2.23-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.9University of California at Santa Cruz1.036.3%1st Place
-
5.52University of California at San Diego1.3810.2%1st Place
-
4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.8%1st Place
-
3.57University of North Texas1.7722.6%1st Place
-
6.11Purdue University0.929.8%1st Place
-
6.93University of New Hampshire0.686.2%1st Place
-
11.49Fairfield University-0.661.9%1st Place
-
8.95Bates College0.024.2%1st Place
-
8.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.464.8%1st Place
-
9.13Marquette University-0.122.9%1st Place
-
11.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.402.3%1st Place
-
11.84Middlebury College-0.551.2%1st Place
-
10.56University of Texas0.412.8%1st Place
-
10.18San Diego State University-0.272.3%1st Place
-
8.29Olin College of Engineering0.225.7%1st Place
-
14.52University of Delaware-1.820.4%1st Place
-
15.14Unknown School-2.230.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitor Iriso | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 22.6% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew White | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 4.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Kozal | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| James Jagielski | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 24.2% | 33.2% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 21.6% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.