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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.38+3.62vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.22+5.30vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas1.77-2.43vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.55+4.87vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+0.17vs Predicted
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9Purdue University0.92-2.79vs Predicted
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10University of Texas0.41+0.44vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.66+0.41vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.02-3.03vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-1.87vs Predicted
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14Marquette University-0.12-4.85vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.27-4.80vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.82-1.48vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-2.23-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.8%1st Place
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5.62University of California at San Diego1.3810.0%1st Place
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8.3Olin College of Engineering0.225.0%1st Place
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6.94University of New Hampshire0.687.5%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Santa Cruz1.036.7%1st Place
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3.57University of North Texas1.7722.4%1st Place
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11.87Middlebury College-0.551.6%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.465.2%1st Place
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6.21Purdue University0.927.9%1st Place
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10.44University of Texas0.412.5%1st Place
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11.41Fairfield University-0.661.7%1st Place
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8.97Bates College0.024.2%1st Place
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11.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.8%1st Place
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9.15Marquette University-0.124.0%1st Place
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10.2San Diego State University-0.272.9%1st Place
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14.52University of Delaware-1.820.6%1st Place
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15.05Unknown School-2.230.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dutch Byerly | 22.4% | 18.8% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 6.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Andrew White | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.7% |
| Jenna Kozal | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 26.2% | 31.8% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 19.9% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.