Race 2 - colgate-fall-open | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.6

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Sara Klik & Lindsay Burroughs

Colgate University

1.10

+1.18

vs Predicted
2

Lindsay Gimple & Rebecca Mount

Cornell University

1.61

-0.23

vs Predicted
3

Chris Pomerleau & Vasu Gaur

Penn State University

0.13

+0.12

vs Predicted
4

Nathan Arndt & John Boudreau

Hamilton College

0.30

-1.06

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

2.18

Sara Klik & Lindsay Burroughs

Colgate University

1.10

0.3%

1st Place
1.77

Lindsay Gimple & Rebecca Mount

Cornell University

1.61

0.5%

1st Place
3.12

Chris Pomerleau & Vasu Gaur

Penn State University

0.13

0.1%

1st Place
2.94

Nathan Arndt & John Boudreau

Hamilton College

0.30

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Sara Klik	29.7%	34.5%	24.3%	11.5%
Lindsay Gimple	47.8%	32.4%	15.1%	4.7%
Chris Pomerleau	10.9%	14.2%	27.4%	47.5%
Nathan Arndt	11.6%	18.9%	33.2%	36.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.