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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+6.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.55vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.02+6.12vs Predicted
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4University of North Texas1.77-0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.41+6.03vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.68+0.96vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.92-0.79vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.22+0.46vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+2.17vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.12-0.49vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.55+1.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.38-6.40vs Predicted
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13Unknown School-2.23+2.28vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.81-2.07vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-6.78vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-0.66-4.24vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.27-6.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03University of California at Santa Cruz1.037.3%1st Place
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4.55University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.8%1st Place
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9.12Bates College0.025.1%1st Place
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3.67University of North Texas1.7721.4%1st Place
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11.03University of Texas0.411.9%1st Place
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6.96University of New Hampshire0.687.3%1st Place
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6.21Purdue University0.929.0%1st Place
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8.46Olin College of Engineering0.223.5%1st Place
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11.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.6%1st Place
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9.51Marquette University-0.123.4%1st Place
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12.1Middlebury College-0.551.6%1st Place
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5.6University of California at San Diego1.3811.3%1st Place
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15.28Unknown School-2.230.4%1st Place
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11.93University of Delaware-0.811.7%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.465.0%1st Place
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11.76Fairfield University-0.661.4%1st Place
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10.4San Diego State University-0.272.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitor Iriso | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 21.4% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 3.7% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Odey Hariri | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 5.7% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 16.5% | 7.8% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 59.7% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 9.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew White | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 7.3% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.