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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.30+2.70vs Predicted
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2Colgate University1.10+0.83vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.61-0.79vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University1.49-1.64vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.13-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Hamilton College0.300.1%1st Place
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2.83Colgate University1.100.2%1st Place
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2.21Cornell University1.610.4%1st Place
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2.36Syracuse University1.490.3%1st Place
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3.9Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Arndt | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 28.0% | 36.0% |
| Sara Klik | 17.9% | 23.0% | 27.6% | 20.8% | 10.7% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 35.7% | 27.8% | 20.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 30.7% | 26.5% | 23.5% | 14.3% | 5.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.4% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 24.0% | 44.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.