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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.02+8.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of North Texas1.77+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.38+1.63vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.92+1.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46+2.70vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.41+3.88vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.44vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.27+1.19vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.55+2.17vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.68-4.02vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.03-5.92vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-2.23+1.42vs Predicted
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15University of Delaware-0.81-3.17vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-0.12-6.61vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University-0.66-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09Bates College0.023.5%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Los Angeles1.3017.2%1st Place
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3.6University of North Texas1.7721.1%1st Place
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5.63University of California at San Diego1.389.7%1st Place
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6.14Purdue University0.928.8%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.464.4%1st Place
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10.88University of Texas0.412.4%1st Place
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11.44SUNY Stony Brook-0.402.1%1st Place
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10.19San Diego State University-0.272.8%1st Place
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12.17Middlebury College-0.551.7%1st Place
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6.98University of New Hampshire0.687.7%1st Place
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8.5Olin College of Engineering0.224.0%1st Place
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7.08University of California at Santa Cruz1.037.2%1st Place
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15.42Unknown School-2.230.3%1st Place
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11.83University of Delaware-0.812.4%1st Place
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9.39Marquette University-0.123.3%1st Place
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11.42Fairfield University-0.661.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 17.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dutch Byerly | 21.1% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 5.1% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 9.4% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 60.7% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 7.8% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Andrew White | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.