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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.61+1.26vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.49+0.37vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.30+0.69vs Predicted
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4Colgate University1.10-1.19vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.13-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Cornell University1.610.3%1st Place
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2.37Syracuse University1.490.3%1st Place
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3.69Hamilton College0.300.1%1st Place
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2.81Colgate University1.100.2%1st Place
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3.87Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Gimple | 34.6% | 27.7% | 20.3% | 12.1% | 5.3% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 29.7% | 28.0% | 22.8% | 15.0% | 4.5% |
| Nathan Arndt | 9.4% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 27.0% | 35.7% |
| Sara Klik | 18.6% | 23.6% | 26.2% | 21.0% | 10.6% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 7.7% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 24.9% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.