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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College0.02+8.25vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.41+8.83vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.38+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz1.03+3.02vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.68+1.99vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.92+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.47vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.24vs Predicted
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9University of North Texas1.77-5.39vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.55+2.15vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-0.27-0.55vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.22-3.62vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.12-3.59vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-2.23+1.31vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-0.66-3.32vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-0.81-4.08vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.46-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Bates College0.023.5%1st Place
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10.83University of Texas0.412.5%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego1.3811.0%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Cruz1.037.2%1st Place
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6.99University of New Hampshire0.687.5%1st Place
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6.32Purdue University0.928.2%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Los Angeles1.3015.2%1st Place
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11.24SUNY Stony Brook-0.401.9%1st Place
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3.61University of North Texas1.7722.1%1st Place
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12.15Middlebury College-0.551.7%1st Place
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10.45San Diego State University-0.272.9%1st Place
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8.38Olin College of Engineering0.224.6%1st Place
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9.41Marquette University-0.122.8%1st Place
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15.31Unknown School-2.230.8%1st Place
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11.68Fairfield University-0.661.7%1st Place
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11.92University of Delaware-0.811.7%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.464.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Valentino | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Cannon | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 15.2% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Dutch Byerly | 22.1% | 19.8% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 9.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| James Jagielski | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Kozal | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Barilla | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 59.4% |
| Andrew White | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 6.8% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 9.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.