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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Colgate University1.10+1.81vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University1.49+0.35vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.61-0.78vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College0.30-0.29vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.13-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Colgate University1.100.2%1st Place
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2.35Syracuse University1.490.3%1st Place
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2.22Cornell University1.610.3%1st Place
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3.71Hamilton College0.300.1%1st Place
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3.91Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Klik | 20.5% | 22.1% | 25.1% | 20.1% | 12.2% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 29.9% | 28.0% | 23.9% | 13.6% | 4.6% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 34.8% | 28.3% | 20.7% | 12.7% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Arndt | 7.9% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 28.2% | 34.8% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.9% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 25.4% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.