← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+3.08vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.22+4.77vs Predicted
-
3University of Texas0.13+4.32vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.08vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University0.85-0.01vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.50+3.65vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.33+1.87vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+1.73vs Predicted
-
9University of North Texas-1.12+2.62vs Predicted
-
10San Diego State University0.53-4.03vs Predicted
-
11Olin College of Engineering-0.69-1.64vs Predicted
-
12University of New Hampshire-0.00-3.04vs Predicted
-
13Fairfield University-1.14-1.36vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-1.42-1.78vs Predicted
-
15University of Delaware0.01-7.32vs Predicted
-
16Unknown School-1.73-3.06vs Predicted
-
17Marquette University-3.34-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.08University of California at Los Angeles1.4819.5%1st Place
-
6.77University of California at San Diego0.227.5%1st Place
-
7.32University of Texas0.136.8%1st Place
-
5.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.8613.4%1st Place
-
4.99Purdue University0.8512.4%1st Place
-
9.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.502.9%1st Place
-
8.87Bates College-0.333.9%1st Place
-
9.73SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.2%1st Place
-
11.62University of North Texas-1.121.6%1st Place
-
5.97San Diego State University0.5310.4%1st Place
-
9.36Olin College of Engineering-0.693.5%1st Place
-
8.96University of New Hampshire-0.003.7%1st Place
-
11.64Fairfield University-1.141.7%1st Place
-
12.22Middlebury College-1.421.7%1st Place
-
7.68University of Delaware0.016.2%1st Place
-
12.94Unknown School-1.731.5%1st Place
-
16.11Marquette University-3.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 19.5% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 13.4% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 12.4% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| James Sullivan | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 3.0% |
| William Procter | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 5.7% |
| Quinn Harrington | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 25.2% | 8.9% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 9.0% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.