← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State University0.13+2.85vs Predicted
-
3Hamilton College0.30+0.73vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.61-1.78vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University1.49-2.65vs Predicted
-
6Colgate University1.10-3.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.85Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
-
3.73Hamilton College0.300.1%1st Place
-
2.22Cornell University1.610.3%1st Place
-
2.35Syracuse University1.490.3%1st Place
-
2.85Colgate University1.100.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Pomerleau | 8.0% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 24.3% | 42.9% |
| Nathan Arndt | 7.8% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 29.5% | 35.5% |
| Lindsay Gimple | 33.9% | 30.4% | 19.2% | 12.7% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 30.5% | 27.8% | 22.7% | 14.3% | 4.7% |
| Sara Klik | 19.8% | 20.9% | 27.0% | 19.2% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.