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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+7.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.29vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+8.52vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+6.14vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+4.65vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+2.28vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.97+5.27vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.04vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+4.14vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-0.46vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.45vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-4.24vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.65-3.72vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-1.91vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.69-5.86vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.79-7.49vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.70-7.81vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.04-5.81vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.29Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.14Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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13.27SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.28Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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7.96Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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14.14Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.28College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.14Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.19Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% |
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Nick Valente | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| William Macdonald | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 12.9% |
| Raul Rios | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 18.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Brady Stagg | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.