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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.13+6.26vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+6.99vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.53+3.16vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+5.82vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.33+3.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.50+3.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.48-3.99vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware0.01-1.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.22-3.26vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.69-1.58vs Predicted
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12Purdue University0.85-6.97vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.12-1.48vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University-1.14-2.53vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.42-2.78vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-1.73-3.22vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-3.34-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26University of Texas0.136.7%1st Place
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8.99University of New Hampshire-0.003.7%1st Place
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6.16San Diego State University0.539.6%1st Place
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9.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.1%1st Place
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8.83Bates College-0.334.5%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.503.0%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Santa Cruz0.8612.6%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Los Angeles1.4819.1%1st Place
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7.71University of Delaware0.015.7%1st Place
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6.74University of California at San Diego0.228.2%1st Place
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9.42Olin College of Engineering-0.693.7%1st Place
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5.03Purdue University0.8512.7%1st Place
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11.52University of North Texas-1.122.1%1st Place
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11.47Fairfield University-1.141.9%1st Place
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12.22Middlebury College-1.421.6%1st Place
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12.78Unknown School-1.731.7%1st Place
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16.12Marquette University-3.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reilly Linn | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 12.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 19.1% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Harrington | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Lukas Diehm | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 3.3% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 3.1% |
| William Procter | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 5.7% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 8.9% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 9.2% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.