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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.85+3.99vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.13+5.45vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+6.67vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+1.11vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.53+1.03vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware0.01+1.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.50+2.66vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.89vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.69+0.45vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.33-1.21vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-1.12+0.64vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.42+0.33vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University-1.14-1.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles1.48-9.93vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego0.22-8.26vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-1.73-2.98vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-3.34-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Purdue University0.8514.3%1st Place
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7.45University of Texas0.136.2%1st Place
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9.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.9%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.8612.3%1st Place
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6.03San Diego State University0.539.4%1st Place
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7.69University of Delaware0.015.6%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.503.5%1st Place
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8.89University of New Hampshire-0.004.2%1st Place
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9.45Olin College of Engineering-0.693.8%1st Place
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8.79Bates College-0.333.9%1st Place
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11.64University of North Texas-1.121.8%1st Place
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12.33Middlebury College-1.420.9%1st Place
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11.36Fairfield University-1.142.2%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Los Angeles1.4819.8%1st Place
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6.74University of California at San Diego0.227.6%1st Place
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13.02Unknown School-1.731.1%1st Place
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16.1Marquette University-3.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 14.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reilly Linn | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Blake Roberts | 12.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Harrington | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| James Sullivan | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 4.0% |
| William Procter | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 5.0% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 2.6% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 19.8% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 24.9% | 9.3% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 9.0% | 75.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.