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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+9.18vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+6.17vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+7.19vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+4.46vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.05+8.09vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.70+4.18vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+6.52vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-1.76vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65+1.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-1.69vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-0.52vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.97+1.77vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84+1.42vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-5.79vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-5.28vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.63vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.95-8.22vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-4.79vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.79-9.42vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.18Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.19Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.09SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.18Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.24Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.22College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.77University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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14.42Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University3.790.0%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Raul Rios | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Nick Valente | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% |
| Graham Landy | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 18.9% |
| William Haeger | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% |
| William Macdonald | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.