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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.18vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.20vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+7.28vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.70+5.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+4.92vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.70+4.04vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+2.08vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.05+4.79vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.31vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.63-0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.97+1.59vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-0.15vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.84-0.19vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-6.80vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.41vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-7.59vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College4.05-9.61vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.04-5.99vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.28College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.99Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.92Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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10.04Stanford University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.08Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.88Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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12.85Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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13.81Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.41Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.39Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.01University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.15SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Antoine Screve | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| William Macdonald | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% |
| Raul Rios | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| David Alfonso | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.6% |
| Ryan Bailey | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 17.4% |
| William Haeger | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% |
| Nick Valente | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.