← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.06vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.11vs Predicted
-
3University of Delaware0.01+4.70vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego0.22+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.50+4.93vs Predicted
-
6Bates College-0.33+3.00vs Predicted
-
7San Diego State University0.53-1.00vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University0.85-3.03vs Predicted
-
9Olin College of Engineering-0.69+0.41vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.31vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-0.00-2.14vs Predicted
-
12University of Texas0.13-4.75vs Predicted
-
13Middlebury College-1.42-0.76vs Predicted
-
14Fairfield University-1.14-2.48vs Predicted
-
15Unknown School-1.73-2.19vs Predicted
-
16University of North Texas-1.12-4.34vs Predicted
-
17Marquette University-3.34-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.8613.2%1st Place
-
4.11University of California at Los Angeles1.4818.4%1st Place
-
7.7University of Delaware0.015.3%1st Place
-
6.72University of California at San Diego0.227.6%1st Place
-
9.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.503.5%1st Place
-
9.0Bates College-0.333.6%1st Place
-
6.0San Diego State University0.5310.2%1st Place
-
4.97Purdue University0.8513.8%1st Place
-
9.41Olin College of Engineering-0.693.4%1st Place
-
9.69SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.6%1st Place
-
8.86University of New Hampshire-0.004.3%1st Place
-
7.25University of Texas0.136.6%1st Place
-
12.24Middlebury College-1.421.4%1st Place
-
11.52Fairfield University-1.142.2%1st Place
-
12.81Unknown School-1.731.6%1st Place
-
11.66University of North Texas-1.121.2%1st Place
-
16.06Marquette University-3.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 13.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Harrington | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| James Sullivan | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Reilly Linn | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Procter | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 6.2% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 4.1% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 24.4% | 9.2% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 3.7% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.