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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+8.89vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+8.23vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+7.36vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.70+5.96vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.12+2.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+2.28vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+2.87vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05+0.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.14vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.97+3.37vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-4.68vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-0.10vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-4.53vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-1.56vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-2.06vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.69-6.03vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.95-8.40vs Predicted
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18Washington College2.84-4.01vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.04-5.99vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.89Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.36College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.96Old Dominion University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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6.32Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.44Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.97Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.6Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.99Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.16SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% |
| Brady Stagg | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Raul Rios | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| David Alfonso | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% |
| Graham Landy | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| William Macdonald | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.6% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.