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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+8.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+6.18vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.00vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+2.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+4.95vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.12+2.10vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+1.60vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70+1.72vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-0.35vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.05+2.10vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-1.54vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.16-0.09vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.63-3.75vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.84-1.14vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.42vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.89vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.97-4.57vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.78-9.49vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.04-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.92Stanford University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.0SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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6.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.95Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.72Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.2Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.46College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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12.91Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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13.86Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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11.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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13.43University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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13.22University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% |
| Graham Landy | 11.7% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Raul Rios | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| William Macdonald | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 17.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| David Alfonso | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.