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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.85+3.63vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.19+4.26vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+5.12vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University0.53+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.22+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.24vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.30vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.33-0.62vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.12+1.05vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.14-0.12vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.69-3.11vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.42-1.24vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-2.81vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-1.73-2.59vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.67-3.62vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-3.34-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Purdue University0.8514.6%1st Place
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3.84University of California at Los Angeles1.4820.4%1st Place
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7.26University of Texas0.196.2%1st Place
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9.12SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.3%1st Place
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5.79San Diego State University0.539.3%1st Place
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6.37University of California at San Diego0.227.6%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Santa Cruz0.8613.8%1st Place
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8.3University of New Hampshire-0.005.8%1st Place
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8.38Bates College-0.334.0%1st Place
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11.05University of North Texas-1.122.0%1st Place
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10.88Fairfield University-1.142.4%1st Place
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8.89Olin College of Engineering-0.694.0%1st Place
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11.76Middlebury College-1.421.9%1st Place
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11.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.422.1%1st Place
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12.41Unknown School-1.731.5%1st Place
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12.38University of Delaware-1.671.1%1st Place
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15.97Marquette University-3.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 20.4% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 13.8% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Weston | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% |
| Alexander Miller | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| William Procter | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 4.3% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 3.0% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 8.2% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 6.3% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 11.2% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.