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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.78vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.85+2.59vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.19+4.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.22+1.17vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.33+2.40vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.50vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.53-2.29vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.14+2.00vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.69-1.04vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-1.86vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.42-0.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-1.63vs Predicted
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14University of North Texas-1.12-3.03vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-1.73-2.41vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.67-3.73vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-3.34-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of California at Los Angeles1.4820.2%1st Place
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4.59Purdue University0.8514.6%1st Place
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7.22University of Texas0.197.2%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.8615.0%1st Place
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6.17University of California at San Diego0.228.7%1st Place
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8.4Bates College-0.334.9%1st Place
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8.5University of New Hampshire-0.004.3%1st Place
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5.71San Diego State University0.538.4%1st Place
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11.0Fairfield University-1.141.7%1st Place
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8.96Olin College of Engineering-0.693.7%1st Place
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9.14SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.5%1st Place
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11.71Middlebury College-1.421.5%1st Place
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11.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.7%1st Place
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10.97University of North Texas-1.122.1%1st Place
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12.59Unknown School-1.730.8%1st Place
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12.27University of Delaware-1.671.1%1st Place
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15.96Marquette University-3.340.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 20.2% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 14.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 2.8% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| William Procter | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 4.2% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 3.2% |
| Jamie Weston | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 2.5% |
| Luca Hokaj | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 8.5% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 19.9% | 5.1% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 72.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.