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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.34vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+11.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+5.48vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+6.13vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+4.64vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+4.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+2.23vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+3.55vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.70+0.99vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04+3.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.52vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-3.37vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-4.33vs Predicted
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14Boston College4.12-5.91vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.97-1.62vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.79-6.30vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.70-7.08vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.05-4.72vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.63-8.63vs Predicted
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20Washington College2.84-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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13.21SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.13Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.43College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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9.99Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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13.38University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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13.28University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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14.18Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nick Valente | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| William Macdonald | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% |
| David Alfonso | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Raul Rios | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.