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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.85+3.68vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.73vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.33+5.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.48-0.14vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.27vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.19+1.33vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University0.53-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.22-1.67vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42+2.35vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering-0.69-1.28vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.14+0.02vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.12-1.00vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-3.91vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.42-2.17vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-1.73-2.56vs Predicted
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16University of Delaware-1.67-3.57vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-3.34-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Purdue University0.8514.7%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Cruz0.8613.8%1st Place
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8.24Bates College-0.334.9%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Los Angeles1.4820.0%1st Place
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8.27University of New Hampshire-0.005.7%1st Place
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7.33University of Texas0.195.7%1st Place
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5.79San Diego State University0.539.4%1st Place
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6.33University of California at San Diego0.227.6%1st Place
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11.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.9%1st Place
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8.72Olin College of Engineering-0.695.1%1st Place
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11.02Fairfield University-1.142.1%1st Place
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11.0University of North Texas-1.121.8%1st Place
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9.09SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.4%1st Place
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11.83Middlebury College-1.421.4%1st Place
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12.44Unknown School-1.731.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Delaware-1.671.1%1st Place
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15.9Marquette University-3.340.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 14.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 20.0% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Miller | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| William Procter | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 4.6% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 7.5% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 6.6% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.