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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.85+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+1.71vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.53+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+0.75vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.22+1.39vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.19+1.35vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.33+1.19vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+0.99vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.57vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.12+1.11vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-1.14-0.15vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.42-0.19vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering-0.69-4.33vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-2.60vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-1.73-2.48vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-3.34+0.03vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.67-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Purdue University0.8511.8%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Los Angeles1.4821.8%1st Place
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5.69San Diego State University0.5310.9%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Santa Cruz0.8613.6%1st Place
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6.39University of California at San Diego0.228.8%1st Place
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7.35University of Texas0.195.0%1st Place
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8.19Bates College-0.334.7%1st Place
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8.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.584.5%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-0.004.2%1st Place
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11.11University of North Texas-1.121.8%1st Place
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10.85Fairfield University-1.142.5%1st Place
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11.81Middlebury College-1.421.4%1st Place
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8.67Olin College of Engineering-0.694.9%1st Place
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11.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.7%1st Place
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12.52Unknown School-1.731.1%1st Place
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16.03Marquette University-3.340.2%1st Place
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12.38University of Delaware-1.671.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 21.8% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Magill | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 2.5% |
| William Procter | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 4.8% |
| Alexander Miller | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 2.9% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 7.5% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 10.8% | 72.0% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.