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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.32vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+11.19vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+7.26vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+4.42vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+4.65vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+4.25vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+2.23vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.97+4.39vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+1.87vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.12-2.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-3.51vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-2.94vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.70-3.90vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-1.88vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.65-5.66vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.77vs Predicted
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18Tufts University4.08-9.60vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.84-5.05vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island3.05-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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13.19SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.26Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.65Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.25Brown University3.690.0%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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11.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.06Harvard University3.790.0%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.34College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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11.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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13.95Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 12.3% |
| Antoine Screve | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| William Macdonald | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Raul Rios | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| David Alfonso | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 17.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.