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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.79vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.85+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.22+3.32vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+5.10vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00+3.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-1.39vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.33+1.22vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University0.53-2.33vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.14+2.22vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.42+1.79vs Predicted
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11University of Texas0.19-3.58vs Predicted
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12University of North Texas-1.12-1.02vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.42-1.62vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.69-5.19vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-1.73-2.52vs Predicted
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16Marquette University-3.34-0.17vs Predicted
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17University of Delaware-1.67-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of California at Los Angeles1.4820.4%1st Place
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4.51Purdue University0.8515.7%1st Place
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6.32University of California at San Diego0.228.8%1st Place
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9.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.5%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-0.004.0%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Santa Cruz0.8614.7%1st Place
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8.22Bates College-0.334.7%1st Place
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5.67San Diego State University0.539.8%1st Place
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11.22Fairfield University-1.141.3%1st Place
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11.79Middlebury College-1.421.6%1st Place
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7.42University of Texas0.195.2%1st Place
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10.98University of North Texas-1.121.9%1st Place
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11.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.421.9%1st Place
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8.81Olin College of Engineering-0.693.8%1st Place
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12.48Unknown School-1.731.1%1st Place
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15.83Marquette University-3.340.4%1st Place
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12.45University of Delaware-1.671.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 20.4% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 15.7% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 14.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| William Procter | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 5.0% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Kennard MacVaugh | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 19.9% | 6.5% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 69.9% |
| Laura MacMillan | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.