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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.32vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+7.66vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+7.59vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+4.43vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+4.63vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.05+7.31vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12+1.44vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.70+1.93vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65+1.18vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.84+4.13vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-2.60vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.70-1.69vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-3.70vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-0.86vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.97vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.69-5.89vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-5.34vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-9.63vs Predicted
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19University of Michigan2.97-5.54vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.66Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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8.44Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.93Old Dominion University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.18College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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14.13Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.31Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.03SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.11Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.46University of Michigan2.970.0%1st Place
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11.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% |
| Raul Rios | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Brady Stagg | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 18.4% |
| William Haeger | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| William Macdonald | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Connor Trepton | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.9% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.9% |
| Judge Ryan | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% |
| David Alfonso | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.