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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.19+6.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.48+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware0.01+3.55vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.40+3.87vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.50+3.49vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.58+2.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.22-1.27vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.69+0.41vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University0.53-3.83vs Predicted
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11Purdue University0.85-5.95vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.00-3.20vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.42-1.00vs Predicted
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14University of North Texas-1.12-2.43vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-1.73-2.08vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University-1.14-4.52vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-3.34-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95University of Texas0.195.9%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Los Angeles1.4819.7%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.8614.8%1st Place
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7.55University of Delaware0.015.5%1st Place
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8.87Bates College-0.403.2%1st Place
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9.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.503.3%1st Place
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9.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.582.9%1st Place
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6.73University of California at San Diego0.227.5%1st Place
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9.41Olin College of Engineering-0.693.2%1st Place
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6.17San Diego State University0.539.2%1st Place
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5.05Purdue University0.8514.0%1st Place
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8.8University of New Hampshire-0.004.9%1st Place
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12.0Middlebury College-1.421.6%1st Place
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11.57University of North Texas-1.121.6%1st Place
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12.92Unknown School-1.731.1%1st Place
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11.48Fairfield University-1.141.7%1st Place
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16.18Marquette University-3.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 19.7% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Harrington | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Diehm | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| William Procter | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 5.8% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 3.8% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 8.6% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.