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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.22+4.80vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware0.01+4.64vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.19+3.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.48-0.89vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.40+2.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.50+2.66vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.69+1.53vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.15vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.42+2.28vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-4.84vs Predicted
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12Purdue University0.85-7.13vs Predicted
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13University of North Texas-1.12-1.48vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-4.39vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University-1.14-3.46vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-1.73-3.10vs Predicted
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17Marquette University-3.34-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.8614.2%1st Place
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6.8University of California at San Diego0.227.6%1st Place
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7.64University of Delaware0.015.5%1st Place
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7.69University of Texas0.195.9%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Los Angeles1.4817.8%1st Place
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8.85Bates College-0.404.5%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.503.6%1st Place
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9.53Olin College of Engineering-0.693.9%1st Place
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8.85University of New Hampshire-0.004.0%1st Place
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12.28Middlebury College-1.421.5%1st Place
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6.16San Diego State University0.538.7%1st Place
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4.87Purdue University0.8514.2%1st Place
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11.52University of North Texas-1.121.7%1st Place
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9.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.583.8%1st Place
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11.54Fairfield University-1.141.8%1st Place
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12.9Unknown School-1.731.1%1st Place
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15.98Marquette University-3.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Quinn Harrington | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Theresa McComiskey | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Frary | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Miller | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| James Sullivan | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| William Procter | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 6.8% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lukas Diehm | 14.2% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Weston | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Magill | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Duncan Hathaway | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 2.9% |
| Luca Hokaj | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 24.1% | 10.1% |
| Anna Donnelly | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 72.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.