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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.89vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.55+7.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+3.95vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+5.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73+3.38vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+1.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.72vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47+1.30vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.55+4.37vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-1.22vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.24+3.63vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.95+0.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.01vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.37+0.07vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.37vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.44-6.37vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.62-8.32vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.66+1.56vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.45-5.27vs Predicted
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20Harvard University3.49-10.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.95Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.39Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.78Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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14.63SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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14.07University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.63Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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19.56University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.73Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 24.9% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 1.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 19.0% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Axel Sly | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Hewitt | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 90.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 1.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.