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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.91vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+5.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.68vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+5.09vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+3.70vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.45+7.97vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.95+5.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.55+5.29vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.49+0.29vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.24+4.69vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.36vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-2.37vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.73-4.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.36vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.66vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.37-2.00vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.47-7.74vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.62-9.10vs Predicted
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19Stanford University3.44-9.39vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-0.66-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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8.7Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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13.97Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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14.69SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.63Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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14.0University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston3.620.0%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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19.62University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 0.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 0.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schoene | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 23.0% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| John Kinzel | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 1.4% |
| Connor Needham | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| James Hewitt | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 91.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.