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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.47+8.46vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.55+11.46vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+5.90vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.55+5.09vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+4.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.73+2.42vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08+0.15vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+1.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.49vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-2.44vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.95+0.87vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.09vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.82-4.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.64vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.62-6.10vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.44-6.39vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-3.27vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.37-3.80vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College2.24-4.49vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-0.66-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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13.46University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.9Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.33Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.15Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.21Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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9.61Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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13.73Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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14.2University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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14.51SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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19.61University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Needham | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 2.1% |
| John Kinzel | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 25.1% | 1.8% |
| James Hewitt | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.