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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.49+8.42vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.68vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+6.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+4.82vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+2.55vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.73+2.48vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+1.23vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-0.61vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.08-2.21vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.55-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.55+2.56vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.44-2.06vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.47-3.10vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.60vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.37-0.95vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-7.67vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-5.34vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.24-3.31vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.45-5.29vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-0.66-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.42Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.82Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.79Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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13.56University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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9.94Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Wisconsin2.370.0%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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14.69SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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13.71Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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19.62University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 1.8% |
| Axel Sly | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| John Kinzel | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 20.8% | 1.9% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schoene | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 2.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 1.3% |
| James Hewitt | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 91.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.