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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+7.65vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+7.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.49+6.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+9.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.73+3.26vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+3.50vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.55+2.32vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-1.35vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-1.60vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72+1.68vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-3.95vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.73-4.35vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.73vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.38vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.08-1.10vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.44-7.54vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.24-3.47vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.45-5.39vs Predicted
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20University of Michigan-0.66-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.49Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.36University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.5Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.32Connecticut College3.550.1%1st Place
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6.65Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.68University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.65College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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14.9University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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9.46Stanford University3.440.0%1st Place
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14.53SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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13.61Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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19.6University of Michigan-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 1.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| IG Schottlaender | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 0.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 27.1% | 2.8% |
| Axel Sly | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schoene | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 20.9% | 2.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 1.1% |
| James Hewitt | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.