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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.2
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.29+0.15vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.98+0.32vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.88-0.02vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.88-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.15University of Michigan1.2986.1%1st Place
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2.32Marquette University-0.989.4%1st Place
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2.98Marquette University-1.883.0%1st Place
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3.55Northwestern University-2.881.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 86.1% | 13.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sara Boutelle | 9.4% | 56.0% | 27.3% | 7.2% |
| Zach Sonkin | 3.0% | 21.3% | 50.4% | 25.2% |
| Diego Montanez | 1.4% | 9.5% | 21.6% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.