← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Michigan1.29+0.14vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-1.88+0.95vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-0.98-0.69vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-2.88-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.14University of Michigan1.2987.3%1st Place
-
2.95Marquette University-1.883.4%1st Place
-
2.31Marquette University-0.988.0%1st Place
-
3.61Northwestern University-2.881.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Vogel | 87.3% | 11.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zach Sonkin | 3.4% | 22.4% | 50.5% | 23.7% |
| Sara Boutelle | 8.0% | 58.1% | 28.4% | 5.5% |
| Diego Montanez | 1.3% | 7.6% | 20.3% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.