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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.31+9.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.46+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.92+5.03vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.52+1.96vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.81vs Predicted
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8California State University Monterey Bay0.84+2.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.48-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.47-5.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.42+0.92vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.87-1.57vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay0.84-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California1.12-4.44vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.58-3.73vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-0.83-0.35vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.11-0.60vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.61-0.50vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.57-1.46vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.02-3.83vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego1.81-14.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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3.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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12.31University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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8.14University of California at Santa Barbara1.460.0%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Southern California1.520.1%1st Place
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6.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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10.15California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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7.86University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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11.92University of California at Davis0.420.0%1st Place
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10.43University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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10.15California State University Monterey Bay0.840.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Southern California1.120.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Los Angeles0.580.0%1st Place
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15.65Arizona State University-0.830.0%1st Place
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16.4Arizona State University-1.110.0%1st Place
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17.5University of California at Los Angeles-1.610.0%1st Place
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17.54University of California at Los Angeles-1.570.0%1st Place
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16.17University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 24.1% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Remy Margerum | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kendall Sanson | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hiew | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 14.5% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Murray | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Smith | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor DuPont | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Wyman | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Olehausen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 15.9% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Conor McGee | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Sota | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 22.2% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Cross | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 21.5% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.