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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.78+5.77vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+4.77vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+3.51vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.99+5.55vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89+0.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+3.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-0.96vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92+0.93vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.42-1.78vs Predicted
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11Washington College4.25-2.29vs Predicted
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12Brown University4.49-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.62-2.07vs Predicted
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14Harvard University4.52-6.65vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.58-3.76vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.77-1.84vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.67-2.57vs Predicted
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18Princeton University2.30-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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6.51St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.8Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.93Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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8.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.420.1%1st Place
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8.71Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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11.24Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
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14.16Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
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14.43Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
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15.18Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Juan Maegli | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Samuel Ingham | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| John Darby | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Blouin | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Edward Glackin | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 20.9% |
| Max Rollins | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 25.7% |
| Mary Gamber | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.