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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+6.84vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+7.77vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+7.14vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+1.00vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.69+5.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+3.37vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+0.55vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.31-2.18vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.32+3.98vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.03vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-3.33vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-7.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.69vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.99-6.72vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.34-7.16vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.73-3.83vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.58-7.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.86Yale University3.2012.2%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University2.424.8%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.3%1st Place
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11.14University of Rhode Island2.103.2%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College2.7512.1%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University1.692.7%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.5%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.036.2%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.318.8%1st Place
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13.98Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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7.97Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
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8.67Connecticut College1.925.8%1st Place
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5.85Brown University2.8512.1%1st Place
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13.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.4%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University1.995.8%1st Place
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8.84Boston College2.345.3%1st Place
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13.17Fairfield University0.731.5%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont1.583.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 28.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 17.8% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 18.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.