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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.83vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.58+7.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+6.49vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+3.66vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.92+2.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.99+1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+3.21vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.85-3.04vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.31-3.18vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.42-2.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-0.98vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-4.94vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.69-2.28vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.67vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-7.38vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.32-2.98vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Yale University3.2010.4%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College2.7510.9%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont1.583.1%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.664.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston College2.346.3%1st Place
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8.73Connecticut College1.925.8%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.995.9%1st Place
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11.21University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
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5.96Brown University2.8511.7%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.318.4%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University2.426.5%1st Place
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11.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.3%1st Place
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8.06Boston University1.797.0%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University1.693.5%1st Place
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13.33Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College2.036.0%1st Place
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14.02Salve Regina University1.321.2%1st Place
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13.14Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| John Ped | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 19.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 27.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.