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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+6.88vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.20+3.85vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.32+11.18vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.58+6.59vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.42+3.74vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.31+0.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.10+2.94vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+4.26vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-3.81vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-4.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.69-0.38vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.99-4.67vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-0.79vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-4.63vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.92-7.39vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-6.07vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Boston University1.796.2%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.2011.7%1st Place
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14.18Salve Regina University1.321.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont1.584.1%1st Place
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8.74Roger Williams University2.425.2%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University2.318.8%1st Place
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8.89Boston College2.346.4%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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13.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College2.759.7%1st Place
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6.09Brown University2.8511.3%1st Place
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11.62Northeastern University1.692.4%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University1.996.5%1st Place
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13.21Fairfield University0.731.7%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.6%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College1.926.2%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.9%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.037.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 28.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 19.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 17.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| John Ped | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.