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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+5.01vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+5.90vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.69+8.72vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.10+7.04vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+3.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.99+2.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+1.54vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+2.67vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-2.86vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.32+4.21vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.20-5.04vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.92-3.40vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-2.35vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.42-5.25vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.31-8.30vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-2.68vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.83vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.58-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Brown University2.8510.4%1st Place
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7.9Boston University1.797.1%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University1.692.9%1st Place
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11.04University of Rhode Island2.104.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston College2.345.2%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University1.996.9%1st Place
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8.54Bowdoin College2.035.6%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.7%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College2.7511.7%1st Place
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14.21Salve Regina University1.321.4%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.2010.9%1st Place
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8.6Connecticut College1.926.2%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.662.6%1st Place
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8.75Roger Williams University2.425.8%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.318.6%1st Place
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13.32Fairfield University0.731.8%1st Place
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13.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.1%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont1.584.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| John Ped | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 29.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 18.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.