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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+3.95vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.10+7.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+5.10vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+3.31vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+1.86vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.34+1.56vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+2.33vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.42-0.37vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-4.24vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.03-1.86vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-1.41vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.69-1.47vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.92-5.67vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.32-0.86vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.58-5.50vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.73-4.02vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Yale University3.2011.9%1st Place
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5.95Dartmouth College2.7511.4%1st Place
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10.74University of Rhode Island2.103.8%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University2.124.8%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.036.1%1st Place
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7.86Boston University1.797.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston College2.346.0%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.4%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University2.425.0%1st Place
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5.76Brown University2.8513.2%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University2.036.0%1st Place
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10.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.8%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University1.693.0%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College1.926.5%1st Place
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14.14Salve Regina University1.321.4%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont1.583.7%1st Place
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12.98Fairfield University0.732.1%1st Place
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12.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| John Ped | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 28.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 18.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.