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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+7.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.12+7.00vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.20+2.74vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+3.78vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.75+0.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85-0.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.03+2.19vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.73+5.19vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.10+1.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66+0.41vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03-2.89vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.42-3.41vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.92-4.53vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-3.27vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.69-3.45vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.32-2.07vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.58-6.45vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Boston College2.346.2%1st Place
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9.0Harvard University2.124.8%1st Place
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5.74Yale University3.2011.1%1st Place
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7.78Boston University1.797.1%1st Place
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5.76Dartmouth College2.7512.4%1st Place
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5.68Brown University2.8512.8%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University2.035.3%1st Place
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13.19Fairfield University0.731.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island2.103.5%1st Place
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10.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.664.0%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.036.6%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.425.9%1st Place
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8.47Connecticut College1.925.2%1st Place
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10.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.5%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University1.693.1%1st Place
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13.93Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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10.55University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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13.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 17.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| John Ped | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 29.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.