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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+4.94vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.32+12.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.10+8.01vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+1.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.42+3.42vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+2.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12+2.10vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.69+3.35vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75-3.10vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.34-1.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-3.05vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.73+1.19vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-2.49vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.58-3.67vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.03-5.82vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.95-7.54vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.66-6.52vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Brown University2.8510.9%1st Place
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14.0Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.2013.5%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.425.9%1st Place
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8.12Bowdoin College2.036.3%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University2.124.5%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University1.693.0%1st Place
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5.9Dartmouth College2.7511.7%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.346.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston University1.797.0%1st Place
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13.19Fairfield University0.731.6%1st Place
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10.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.7%1st Place
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10.33University of Vermont1.584.1%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University2.035.5%1st Place
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8.46Connecticut College1.956.4%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.663.4%1st Place
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13.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 29.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 18.9% |
| John Ped | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Walter Henry | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.