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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+4.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+2.13vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.54+6.86vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.09+3.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.93+3.18vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.85+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-3.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.31+2.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.24+1.77vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+1.29vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay0.54-1.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.71-6.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.38+0.42vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.31-3.08vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.42-4.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.50-2.38vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-0.31-4.03vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.59-1.07vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.24-0.67vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-6.91vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-0.88-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.47University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.2%1st Place
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9.86California State University Monterey Bay0.540.0%1st Place
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7.65University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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8.18University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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10.39University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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10.77University of California at Irvine0.240.0%1st Place
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11.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
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9.86California State University Monterey Bay0.540.0%1st Place
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5.62University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Berkeley-0.380.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Southern California0.310.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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13.62University of California at Los Angeles-0.500.0%1st Place
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12.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.310.0%1st Place
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16.93Arizona State University-1.590.0%1st Place
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18.33Arizona State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
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15.06University of California at Davis-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Rickon | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 17.6% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Perris Berggren | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 21.1% | 19.7% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Benight | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Perris Berggren | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Chavkin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Avery Regen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Allen | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlene Uribe | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Betz | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 26.9% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Jenkins | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 16.6% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Brown | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.