← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island2.10+10.12vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.20+3.94vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.69+8.86vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.71vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.03+3.46vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.32+8.23vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.85-0.89vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.95+0.52vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.79-0.82vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+0.71vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.34-2.04vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.58-1.01vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.25vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.42-5.10vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.03-5.48vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College2.75-9.92vs Predicted
-
17Fairfield University0.73-3.80vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University2.12-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.12University of Rhode Island2.103.0%1st Place
-
5.94Yale University3.2012.1%1st Place
-
11.86Northeastern University1.692.2%1st Place
-
5.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.2%1st Place
-
8.46Bowdoin College2.035.6%1st Place
-
14.23Salve Regina University1.321.1%1st Place
-
6.11Brown University2.8510.0%1st Place
-
8.52Connecticut College1.956.7%1st Place
-
8.18Boston University1.796.6%1st Place
-
10.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.0%1st Place
-
8.96Boston College2.344.5%1st Place
-
10.99University of Vermont1.583.2%1st Place
-
13.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.6%1st Place
-
8.9Roger Williams University2.424.7%1st Place
-
9.52Tufts University2.034.0%1st Place
-
6.08Dartmouth College2.7511.1%1st Place
-
13.2Fairfield University0.732.5%1st Place
-
9.26Harvard University2.125.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan naughton | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 29.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 19.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 20.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.