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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.83vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+6.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.42+5.89vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.75+2.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+0.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.99+2.41vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.58+2.85vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.73+4.23vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+1.04vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.12-1.65vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-0.73vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-4.23vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.34-5.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.69-3.12vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.32-1.92vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-3.52vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.03-9.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Yale University3.2012.1%1st Place
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8.24Boston University1.796.2%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.425.5%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.759.9%1st Place
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5.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.2%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University1.995.3%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.8510.3%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont1.583.7%1st Place
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13.23Fairfield University0.731.5%1st Place
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11.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.0%1st Place
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9.35Harvard University2.124.9%1st Place
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11.27University of Rhode Island2.102.9%1st Place
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8.77Connecticut College1.955.5%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University1.693.1%1st Place
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14.08Salve Regina University1.321.2%1st Place
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13.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.8%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College2.035.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Shawn Harvey | 12.1% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
Spencer Cartwright | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
Maddie Hawkins | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Colman Schofield | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Samuel Merson | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
Connor Nelson | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
Wilson Kaznoski | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 18.9% |
John Ped | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
Dylan Ascencios | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
Aidan naughton | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
Walter Henry | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
Jack DeNatale | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
Adrian van der Wal | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.3% |
Alex Bowdler | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 28.5% |
Tyler Egeli | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 20.0% |
Thibault Antonietti | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.