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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.12+2.88vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+2.30vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.47-0.54vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.60+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.29-1.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.22-2.15vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-2.13vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.41-1.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University2.1967.2%1st Place
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4.88University of Southern California-0.124.6%1st Place
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5.3Western Washington University-0.513.5%1st Place
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3.46University of Hawaii0.4710.9%1st Place
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7.24Arizona State University-1.600.9%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington-0.294.5%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Berkeley-0.223.7%1st Place
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5.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.0%1st Place
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7.01University of California at San Diego-1.411.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 67.2% | 23.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 5.5% |
| Malia Johnson | 10.9% | 24.2% | 22.9% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 20.4% | 39.5% |
| Stephanie Seto | 4.5% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 11.8% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 21.3% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.