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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.20+4.98vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.42+7.11vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+3.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.12+5.56vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+3.10vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.34+2.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.85-0.84vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+3.16vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.58+1.66vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95-1.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-5.21vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.73+1.53vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+0.21vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.69-2.26vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.03-6.45vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.10-4.66vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.99-8.87vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.32-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Yale University3.2011.2%1st Place
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9.11Roger Williams University2.425.6%1st Place
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6.1Dartmouth College2.7511.1%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University2.124.5%1st Place
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8.1Boston University1.796.7%1st Place
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8.91Boston College2.345.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University2.8512.0%1st Place
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11.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.2%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont1.583.8%1st Place
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8.8Connecticut College1.955.3%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.2%1st Place
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13.53Fairfield University0.731.2%1st Place
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13.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University1.692.2%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.034.7%1st Place
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11.34University of Rhode Island2.102.8%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.996.3%1st Place
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14.19Salve Regina University1.321.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Harvey | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Ped | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% |
| Walter Henry | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 19.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 18.2% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Alex Bowdler | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 15.8% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.