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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.34+7.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+3.78vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+4.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.20+1.73vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.73+7.42vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.31+0.54vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.42+1.61vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.75-2.07vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.69+1.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+2.12vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.92-2.59vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.03-3.02vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-7.40vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-4.77vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.03-7.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Boston College2.345.5%1st Place
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5.78Brown University2.8511.2%1st Place
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7.62Boston University1.796.2%1st Place
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5.73Yale University3.2010.5%1st Place
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12.42Fairfield University0.731.1%1st Place
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6.54Harvard University2.3110.1%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University2.425.2%1st Place
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5.93Dartmouth College2.7512.2%1st Place
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10.99Northeastern University1.693.2%1st Place
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12.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.722.1%1st Place
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8.41Connecticut College1.926.3%1st Place
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8.98Tufts University2.033.7%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.6%1st Place
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10.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.662.6%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont1.583.3%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College2.035.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jack DeNatale | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Shawn Harvey | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 28.2% |
Henry Burnes | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
Spencer Cartwright | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
Maddie Hawkins | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Adrian van der Wal | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.3% |
Tyler Egeli | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 26.3% |
CJ Mckenna | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
Alex Fasolo | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
Colman Schofield | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
John Ped | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
Connell Phillipps | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.