← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.58+9.20vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.42+6.58vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.31+3.77vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.20+2.05vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.66+5.42vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.31vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.85-1.00vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.95+0.54vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.69+2.20vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.79-2.10vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.75-4.85vs Predicted
-
12Boston College2.34-3.30vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.38-6.20vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.99-5.90vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.62vs Predicted
-
16Fairfield University0.73-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.2University of Vermont1.583.5%1st Place
-
8.58Roger Williams University2.426.2%1st Place
-
6.77Harvard University2.318.0%1st Place
-
6.05Yale University3.209.8%1st Place
-
10.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.663.9%1st Place
-
5.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.7%1st Place
-
6.0Brown University2.8510.5%1st Place
-
8.54Connecticut College1.955.2%1st Place
-
11.2Northeastern University1.691.9%1st Place
-
7.9Boston University1.795.4%1st Place
-
6.15Dartmouth College2.7511.1%1st Place
-
8.7Boston College2.344.7%1st Place
-
6.8Bowdoin College2.388.7%1st Place
-
8.1Tufts University1.996.2%1st Place
-
12.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.5%1st Place
-
12.53Fairfield University0.731.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.9% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| John Ped | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 15.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Merson | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 17.4% | 26.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 17.6% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.