← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley1.09+6.92vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+3.77vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+7.82vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.37vs Predicted
-
5California State University Monterey Bay0.36+5.76vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.00+2.45vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California0.85+2.16vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-3.78vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.31+1.93vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego0.93-1.38vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay0.36-0.24vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California0.42-1.40vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.71-7.08vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-0.88+1.58vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine0.14-3.31vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles0.02-3.88vs Predicted
-
17University of Southern California0.31-6.05vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley-0.38-4.43vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-1.59-1.76vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-6.43vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-2.24-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.92University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
-
5.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
-
10.82University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
-
3.63University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
-
10.76California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
8.45University of California at Los Angeles1.000.0%1st Place
-
9.16University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
4.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.2%1st Place
-
10.93University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
-
10.76California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
10.6University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
-
5.92University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
-
15.58University of California at Davis-0.880.0%1st Place
-
11.69University of California at Irvine0.140.0%1st Place
-
12.12University of California at Los Angeles0.020.0%1st Place
-
10.95University of Southern California0.310.0%1st Place
-
13.57University of California at Berkeley-0.380.0%1st Place
-
17.24Arizona State University-1.590.0%1st Place
-
13.57University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
-
18.47Arizona State University-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Witte | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 9.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 23.3% | 18.5% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Marino | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Naveed Ziari | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 17.6% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Marino | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Brown | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Traverso | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bacon | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Regen | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted Chavkin | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Betz | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 29.4% | 26.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Jenkins | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 20.1% | 55.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.