← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.38+6.32vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.73+3.74vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.05+2.06vs Predicted
-
42.13+6.04vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.68vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.15+5.05vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.34+0.63vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University1.17+3.94vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.40+0.56vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island2.78-3.67vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.65-0.84vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont0.85+0.36vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.08-4.41vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.29-6.07vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.45-7.61vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.21-3.37vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.98vs Predicted
-
18Fairfield University0.42-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.32Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
-
5.74Yale University2.7311.9%1st Place
-
5.06Harvard University3.0513.8%1st Place
-
10.042.133.5%1st Place
-
7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.4%1st Place
-
11.05Tufts University2.152.4%1st Place
-
7.63Boston College2.347.0%1st Place
-
11.94Northeastern University1.172.3%1st Place
-
9.56Brown University2.404.2%1st Place
-
6.33University of Rhode Island2.7811.5%1st Place
-
10.16Boston University1.654.0%1st Place
-
12.36University of Vermont0.851.9%1st Place
-
8.59Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
-
7.93Connecticut College2.296.4%1st Place
-
7.39Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
-
12.63Salve Regina University1.211.8%1st Place
-
15.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.1%1st Place
-
14.56Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Egan | 11.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.8% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 5.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 10.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.4% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 37.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.