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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+3.86vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.41vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.96vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.74vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.08+2.55vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78-0.61vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.34-0.48vs Predicted
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92.13+0.96vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.29-2.14vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.40-1.28vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.65-1.82vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.15-1.95vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.17-2.02vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.14vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.85-3.47vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.21-4.73vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.42-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Harvard University3.0514.8%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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5.96Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College2.386.9%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.6%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.086.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island2.7810.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston College2.346.9%1st Place
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9.962.133.8%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College2.296.2%1st Place
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9.72Brown University2.404.9%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.654.2%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University2.152.7%1st Place
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11.98Northeastern University1.172.1%1st Place
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15.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
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12.53University of Vermont0.852.5%1st Place
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12.27Salve Regina University1.212.2%1st Place
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14.53Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lachlain McGranahan | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Jack Egan | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
William Michels | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
Christopher Lukens | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Kerem Erkmen | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Sophia Reineke | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Dana Haig | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
Thomas Whittemore | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Jack Murphy | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
Micky Munns | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
Ansgar Jordan | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 18.3% | 37.8% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 8.8% |
Peter Cronin | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.