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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+3.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.21+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+6.68vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay0.36+5.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.88+9.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.00+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.85+0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.42+1.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.93-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.14+0.70vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.09-3.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.02-0.53vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay0.36-3.27vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.31-4.01vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.71-10.19vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.31-6.06vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.59-0.82vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.38-5.29vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.24-1.58vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.2%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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10.73California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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15.41University of California at Davis-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Los Angeles1.000.0%1st Place
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8.72University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
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11.7University of California at Irvine0.140.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Berkeley1.090.1%1st Place
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12.47University of California at Los Angeles0.020.0%1st Place
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10.73California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Southern California0.310.0%1st Place
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5.81University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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10.94University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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17.18Arizona State University-1.590.0%1st Place
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13.71University of California at Berkeley-0.380.0%1st Place
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18.42Arizona State University-2.240.0%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobi Allen | 22.8% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Rickon | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Marino | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Brown | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Naveed Ziari | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Traverso | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Bacon | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Marino | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Regen | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Betz | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 27.1% | 26.7% | 0.0% |
| Ted Chavkin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Jenkins | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 20.1% | 55.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.