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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+3.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.15+7.94vs Predicted
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42.13+6.06vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+0.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+1.30vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.21+5.51vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78-1.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.08-0.64vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.45-2.72vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.34-3.30vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.40-2.26vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-5.03vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.42+0.47vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.17-3.09vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.65-5.91vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.84vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.85-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Harvard University3.0514.3%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.8%1st Place
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10.94Tufts University2.153.6%1st Place
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10.062.133.0%1st Place
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5.97Yale University2.739.6%1st Place
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7.3Dartmouth College2.387.6%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University1.211.9%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island2.789.7%1st Place
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8.36Bowdoin College2.085.9%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University2.459.2%1st Place
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7.7Boston College2.346.6%1st Place
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9.74Brown University2.404.5%1st Place
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7.97Connecticut College2.296.6%1st Place
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14.47Fairfield University0.421.2%1st Place
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11.91Northeastern University1.172.7%1st Place
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10.09Boston University1.653.9%1st Place
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15.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
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12.56University of Vermont0.851.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Dana Haig | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Jack Egan | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 8.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 20.1% | 25.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 39.5% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.