← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.72+4.66vs Predicted
-
2California State University Monterey Bay0.36+8.75vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.67vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley1.71+1.68vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-0.78vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego0.93+2.50vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley1.09+1.07vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara0.13+3.44vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles1.00-0.92vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California0.85-1.26vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley-0.38+2.57vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California0.42-1.36vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego0.31-1.90vs Predicted
-
14University of Southern California0.31-3.08vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Irvine0.14-3.48vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-0.31-2.76vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis-0.88-1.86vs Predicted
-
18California State University Monterey Bay0.36-7.25vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-2.24-0.62vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-1.59-2.91vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Los Angeles-0.36-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.66University of California at Santa Barbara1.720.1%1st Place
-
10.75California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
3.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
-
5.68University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
-
4.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.2%1st Place
-
8.5University of California at San Diego0.930.0%1st Place
-
8.07University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.44University of California at Santa Barbara0.130.0%1st Place
-
8.08University of California at Los Angeles1.000.0%1st Place
-
8.74University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
13.57University of California at Berkeley-0.380.0%1st Place
-
10.64University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
-
11.1University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
-
10.92University of Southern California0.310.0%1st Place
-
11.52University of California at Irvine0.140.0%1st Place
-
13.24University of California at Los Angeles-0.310.0%1st Place
-
15.14University of California at Davis-0.880.0%1st Place
-
10.75California State University Monterey Bay0.360.0%1st Place
-
18.38Arizona State University-2.240.0%1st Place
-
17.09Arizona State University-1.590.0%1st Place
-
13.59University of California at Los Angeles-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Rickon | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Marino | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 21.9% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 17.8% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calum Finlayson | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Christensen | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Naveed Ziari | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Chavkin | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avery Regen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Traverso | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marlene Uribe | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Brown | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Claudia Marino | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Jenkins | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 18.5% | 56.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Betz | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 26.8% | 25.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Loughnan | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.