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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+5.02vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.37vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+4.84vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.38+3.37vs Predicted
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52.13+4.97vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-1.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.15+3.90vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.21+4.35vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29-0.96vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.65+0.02vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.40-1.40vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.08-3.53vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.35vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-7.56vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.17-3.07vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.42-1.47vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.85-4.37vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Yale University2.7311.4%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University2.458.2%1st Place
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7.84Boston College2.346.7%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
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9.972.134.1%1st Place
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4.77Harvard University3.0515.8%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University2.152.9%1st Place
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12.35Salve Regina University1.211.8%1st Place
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8.04Connecticut College2.295.7%1st Place
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10.02Boston University1.654.2%1st Place
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9.6Brown University2.403.6%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.085.5%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.177.9%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island2.789.2%1st Place
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11.93Northeastern University1.172.8%1st Place
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14.53Fairfield University0.420.8%1st Place
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12.63University of Vermont0.852.0%1st Place
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15.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 15.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Peter Cronin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 7.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 26.9% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 8.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 17.3% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.