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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.38+6.41vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+2.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.34+4.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.40+5.63vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.45+2.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.15+5.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-1.20vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08+0.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.46vs Predicted
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102.13-0.18vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-4.94vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29-4.15vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-1.16vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.42+0.55vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.85-2.67vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.21-3.65vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.24-5.21vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University3.0516.7%1st Place
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7.54Boston College2.347.9%1st Place
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9.63Brown University2.404.0%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University2.457.4%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University2.153.1%1st Place
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5.8Yale University2.7310.5%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.086.5%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.2%1st Place
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9.822.133.9%1st Place
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6.06University of Rhode Island2.7811.2%1st Place
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7.85Connecticut College2.296.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston University1.142.1%1st Place
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14.55Fairfield University0.421.3%1st Place
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12.33University of Vermont0.852.1%1st Place
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12.35Salve Regina University1.212.0%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University1.241.8%1st Place
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15.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
William Michels | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Lachlain McGranahan | 16.7% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Sophia Reineke | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Jack Murphy | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
Aidan Hoogland | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Ansgar Jordan | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
Jack Egan | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Christopher Lukens | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Daniel Unangst | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Dana Haig | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Kerem Erkmen | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Tiare Sierra | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 28.3% |
Nicholas Salvesen | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
Peter Cronin | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 7.1% |
Caleb Niles | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
Andy Leshaw | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 18.4% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.