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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+2.26vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+3.14vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48-0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.93+2.23vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.19+0.64vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.68-1.56vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35+0.40vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.49-3.27vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-6.27vs Predicted
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12Williams College0.59-1.58vs Predicted
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13Bates College-1.03+0.01vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University1.45-5.55vs Predicted
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16Brandeis University-0.15-4.36vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.01-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
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5.14Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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3.47Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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7.23University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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5.44Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.4University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.73Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.42Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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13.01Bates College-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.45Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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11.64Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.44McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Stewart | 23.8% | 21.5% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 22.0% | 19.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 12.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 15.0% | 5.9% |
| Geoff Ryder | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 60.6% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 30.4% | 17.6% |
| Simon Li | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 28.2% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.