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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.13+8.76vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+5.24vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.29+4.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.15+6.73vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.34+2.81vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-1.32vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.73-1.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.08+0.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.46vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.40-0.37vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.21+1.40vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42+2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-6.56vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.24-2.00vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-3.14vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.85-3.69vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.38-9.74vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.762.133.8%1st Place
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7.24Roger Williams University2.458.7%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College2.296.6%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.152.9%1st Place
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7.81Boston College2.345.9%1st Place
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4.68Harvard University3.0516.8%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.7312.0%1st Place
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8.44Bowdoin College2.085.5%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.8%1st Place
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9.63Brown University2.403.5%1st Place
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12.4Salve Regina University1.211.9%1st Place
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14.3Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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6.44University of Rhode Island2.788.4%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University1.241.8%1st Place
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11.86Boston University1.142.8%1st Place
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12.31University of Vermont0.852.5%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College2.388.1%1st Place
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15.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 19.9% | 24.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.8% |
| William Michels | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.