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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.19+4.35vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+0.19vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.48-0.48vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35+2.77vs Predicted
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8Williams College0.59+2.11vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.49-3.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-6.26vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University1.45-3.50vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.93-5.70vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.01-3.46vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.03-3.09vs Predicted
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17Brandeis University-0.15-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.35University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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3.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.3%1st Place
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3.52Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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5.42Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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8.77University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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10.11Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.74Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.5Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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11.54McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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12.91Bates College-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.66Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 25.3% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 19.8% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 4.2% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Saldi | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Simon Li | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 25.8% | 17.1% |
| Geoff Ryder | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 59.7% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 18.7% | 31.2% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.