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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+2.52vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.68+3.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70+2.25vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.19+2.59vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.49+0.91vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-3.68vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35+0.40vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut1.93-1.80vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.01+1.48vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.94-6.28vs Predicted
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12Williams College0.59-1.54vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University-0.15-2.24vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University1.45-7.71vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.03-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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5.15Northeastern University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.25Tufts University2.700.1%1st Place
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6.59University of Rhode Island2.190.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University2.490.1%1st Place
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3.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.2%1st Place
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8.4University of New Hampshire1.350.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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11.48McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
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4.72Boston University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.46Williams College0.590.0%1st Place
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11.76Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.29Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
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12.95Bates College-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 21.5% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Proctor | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Penwell | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Capozzi | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 23.0% | 20.5% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Dykes | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Simon Li | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 12.5% | 25.4% | 25.5% | 15.4% |
| Michael Saldi | 10.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 19.5% | 15.2% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Hyman | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 12.8% | 19.9% | 29.0% | 19.5% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Geoff Ryder | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 20.2% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.