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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.43vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.47+1.52vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.12+1.82vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.51+1.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.22-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.29-1.14vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.60+0.32vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.41-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43Stanford University2.1967.9%1st Place
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3.52University of Hawaii0.479.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Southern California-0.125.0%1st Place
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5.3Western Washington University-0.513.8%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley-0.223.8%1st Place
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4.86University of Washington-0.294.9%1st Place
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7.32Arizona State University-1.601.2%1st Place
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5.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.912.6%1st Place
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7.05University of California at San Diego-1.411.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 67.9% | 23.6% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 9.2% | 23.8% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Lara Granucci | 5.0% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 2.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.8% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 5.6% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
| Stephanie Seto | 4.9% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Erin Welker | 1.2% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 21.8% | 40.2% |
| Claire Wiley | 2.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 10.7% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 22.2% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.