← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.78+5.73vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.76+4.70vs Predicted
-
3Brown University4.49+4.79vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+2.34vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University4.52+2.55vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont3.62+5.08vs Predicted
-
7Washington College4.25+1.60vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College3.58+3.18vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.77+5.10vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University3.92+0.19vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami3.99-1.17vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.42-3.67vs Predicted
-
13Boston College4.89-6.95vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.67+0.12vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy4.09-5.80vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University2.30-0.66vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-9.75vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.70-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.73Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
-
6.7College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
-
7.79Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
-
6.34St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
-
7.55Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
-
11.08University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
-
8.6Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
-
11.18Dartmouth College3.580.0%1st Place
-
14.1Yale University2.770.0%1st Place
-
10.19Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
-
9.83University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
-
8.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.420.1%1st Place
-
6.05Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
-
14.12Connecticut College2.670.0%1st Place
-
9.2U. S. Naval Academy4.090.0%1st Place
-
15.34Princeton University2.300.0%1st Place
-
7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
-
10.62Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cy Thompson | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Juan Maegli | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Coleman Bowen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Joseph Blouin | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Edward Glackin | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 20.9% | 19.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| John Darby | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Rollins | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 21.2% | 21.8% |
| Clark Hayes | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Mary Gamber | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 40.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.